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Why DraftKings is Tougher than FanDuel (Part 1)

  By Danny Tuccitto September 22, 2015 - 6:35 am September 22, 2015 Reliability Thursday

The statistics underlying why it’s harder to win on DraftKings than it is to win on FanDuel. Continue Rounding

Tagged   DFS, fantasy football, variance
No comments

Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Rushing Stats

  By Danny Tuccitto August 4, 2015 - 5:29 pm August 5, 2015 Modeling Monday

The average rushing game produced 15.6 fantasy points in 2014. Do forecasts of the NFL rushing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA, fantasy football, TD%, YPC
No comments

Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Passing Stats

  By Danny Tuccitto July 29, 2015 - 5:29 pm August 5, 2015 Modeling Monday

The league average for QB fantasy scoring in 2014 was 17.3 points per game. Do forecasts of the NFL passing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA, fantasy football, INT%, TD%, Y/A
3 Comments

Forecasting the 2015 NFL Offensive Environment: ANY/A

  By Danny Tuccitto July 27, 2015 - 5:29 pm July 28, 2015 Modeling Monday

An underrated factor in accurate player projections is forecasting the league environment. I did my best to do so via some fancy statistics. Continue Rounding

Tagged   ANY/A, ARIMA, fantasy football
One Comment

True Fantasy Points: Quarterbacks

  By Danny Tuccitto September 19, 2014 - 5:29 pm February 13, 2015 I//R Stats

In which I quantify regression to the mean for fantasy quarterbacks. Continue Rounding

Tagged   Drew Brees, fantasy football, reliability, stability
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