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(Receiving) Running Backs Matter
We all know RBs don’t matter. But they do — provided they can catch. Continue Rounding
Category: Modeling Monday
WRs and the Draft: A Methodological Response
The most recent example of why time series data requires time series analysis. Continue Rounding
FanDuel Scoring Isn’t Normal: Running Backs
Re-examining the statistical distribution of RB scoring on FanDuel. Continue Rounding
FanDuel Scoring Isn’t Normal: Quarterbacks
Re-examining the statistical distribution of QB scoring on FanDuel. Continue Rounding
Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Rushing Stats
The average rushing game produced 15.6 fantasy points in 2014. Do forecasts of the NFL rushing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding
Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Passing Stats
The league average for QB fantasy scoring in 2014 was 17.3 points per game. Do forecasts of the NFL passing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding
Forecasting the 2015 NFL Offensive Environment: ANY/A
An underrated factor in accurate player projections is forecasting the league environment. I did my best to do so via some fancy statistics. Continue Rounding
Pass-Run Ratio: MLM or OLS?
How much of the variation in Pass-Run Ratio since 1978 is due to head coach differences? Continue Rounding
A Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (Part 3)
The third installment in a measurement validity evaluation of ANY/A. Continue Rounding
A Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (Part 2)
The second installment in a measurement validity evaluation of ANY/A. Continue Rounding