2016 Week 4 Value Probabilities

The Google spreadsheets below contains the probability that each Week 3 player achieves his position-specific value threshold on FanDuel or Draftkings based on the methods detailed here ($). It’s sorted from lowest to highest salary within positions. For FanDuel, cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 50.0 percent (i.e., 2x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value). For Draftkings, cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 25.0 percent (i.e., 4x value).

Both spreadsheets will be updated between Friday and Sunday to reflect changes in point projections. (Last update was on 10/1 at 7:30 p.m.)

Week 4 FanDuel Probabilities

Week 4 Draftkings Probabilities

2016 Week 3 Value Probabilities

The Google spreadsheets below contains the probability that each Week 3 player achieves his position-specific value threshold on FanDuel or Draftkings based on the methods detailed here ($). It’s sorted from lowest to highest salary within positions. For FanDuel, cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 50.0 percent (i.e., 2x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value). For Draftkings, cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 25.0 percent (i.e., 4x value).

Both spreadsheets will be updated between Friday and Sunday to reflect changes in point projections. (Last update was on 9/23 at 6:00 p.m.)

Week 3 FanDuel Probabilities

Week 3 Draftkings Probabilities

2016 Week 2 Value Probabilities

The Google spreadsheets below contains the probability that each Week 2 player achieves his position-specific value threshold on FanDuel or Draftkings based on the methods detailed here ($). It’s sorted from lowest to highest salary within positions. For FanDuel, cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 50.0 percent (i.e., 2x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value). For Draftkings, cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 25.0 percent (i.e., 4x value).

Both spreadsheets will be updated between Friday and Sunday to reflect changes in point projections. (Last update was on 9/17 at 7:00 p.m.)

Week 2 FanDuel Probabilities

Week 2 Draftkings Probabilities

2016 Week 1 Value Probabilities for FanDuel

The Google spreadsheet below contains the probability that each Week 1 player achieves his position-specific value threshold on FanDuel based on the methods detailed here ($). It’s sorted from lowest to highest salary within positions. Cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 50.0 percent (i.e., 2x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value).

Week 1 FanDuel Value Probabilities

2016 Week 1 Value Probabilities for DraftKings

The Google spreadsheet below contains the probability that each Week 1 player achieves his position-specific value threshold on DraftKings based on the methods detailed here ($). It’s sorted from lowest to highest salary within positions. Cash game probabilities greater than or equal to 33.3 percent (i.e., 3x value) are highlighted in green, as are tournament probabilities greater than or equal to 25.0 percent (i.e., 4x value). I’ll update it once daily between now and Sunday to reflect changes in Footballguys’ point projections ($).

Week 1 DraftKings Value Probabilities