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When Do Quarterback Efficiency Stats Stabilize? (2019 Luxe & Reduxe)

  By Danny Tuccitto August 19, 2019 - 5:29 pm August 19, 2019 Reliability Thursday

Excuse me while I revisit — and provide a one-stop link for — how long it takes QB efficiency stats to represent 50/50 skill vs. luck. Continue Rounding

Tagged   aDOT, ANY/A, INT%, reliability, split-half correlation, stability, TD%, YPA
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Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Rushing Stats

  By Danny Tuccitto August 4, 2015 - 5:29 pm August 5, 2015 Modeling Monday

The average rushing game produced 15.6 fantasy points in 2014. Do forecasts of the NFL rushing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA, fantasy football, TD%, YPC
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Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Passing Stats

  By Danny Tuccitto July 29, 2015 - 5:29 pm August 5, 2015 Modeling Monday

The league average for QB fantasy scoring in 2014 was 17.3 points per game. Do forecasts of the NFL passing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA, fantasy football, INT%, TD%, Y/A
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When Do Yards and Touchdowns per Carry Stabilize?

  By Danny Tuccitto November 4, 2014 - 5:29 pm August 4, 2015 Reliability Thursday

How many games (or carries) does it take to get to the center of a RB’s YPC and TD%? Continue Rounding

Tagged   reliability, split-half correlation, stability, TD%, YPC
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When Does Touchdown Rate Stabilize?

  By Danny Tuccitto September 16, 2014 - 5:29 pm February 17, 2015 Reliability Thursday

How many attempts does it take to get to the center of a QB’s TD Rate? Continue Rounding

Tagged   reliability, split-half correlation, stability, TD%
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