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Tag: ARIMA

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WRs and the Draft: A Methodological Response

  By Danny Tuccitto May 16, 2016 - 5:29 pm May 17, 2016 Modeling Monday

The most recent example of why time series data requires time series analysis. Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA
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Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Rushing Stats

  By Danny Tuccitto August 4, 2015 - 5:29 pm August 5, 2015 Modeling Monday

The average rushing game produced 15.6 fantasy points in 2014. Do forecasts of the NFL rushing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA, fantasy football, TD%, YPC
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Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Passing Stats

  By Danny Tuccitto July 29, 2015 - 5:29 pm August 5, 2015 Modeling Monday

The league average for QB fantasy scoring in 2014 was 17.3 points per game. Do forecasts of the NFL passing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding

Tagged   ARIMA, fantasy football, INT%, TD%, Y/A
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Forecasting the 2015 NFL Offensive Environment: ANY/A

  By Danny Tuccitto July 27, 2015 - 5:29 pm July 28, 2015 Modeling Monday

An underrated factor in accurate player projections is forecasting the league environment. I did my best to do so via some fancy statistics. Continue Rounding

Tagged   ANY/A, ARIMA, fantasy football
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