variance – Intentional Rounding

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Why DraftKings is Tougher than FanDuel (Part 1)

By Danny Tuccitto September 22, 2015 - 6:35 am September 22, 2015 Reliability Thursday

The statistics underlying why it’s harder to win on DraftKings than it is to win on FanDuel. Continue Rounding

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Simple Rating System: MLM or OLS?

By Danny Tuccitto August 30, 2014 - 5:29 pm February 17, 2015 Modeling Monday

How much of a team’s SRS in a given season is due to characteristics of the head coaching regime? Continue Rounding

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Pythagorean Win Percentage: MLM or OLS?

By Danny Tuccitto August 5, 2014 - 5:29 pm February 13, 2015 Modeling Monday

How much of variation in Pythagorean Win Percentage since 1970 is due to head coach differences, and what does this imply for methodology? Continue Rounding

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NFL Variance: MLM vs. OLS

By Danny Tuccitto August 1, 2014 - 5:29 pm February 13, 2015 Modeling Monday

Why multilevel modeling handles NFL variance better than OLS regression. Continue Rounding