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FanDuel Scoring Isn’t Normal: Quarterbacks
Re-examining the statistical distribution of QB scoring on FanDuel. Continue Rounding
Author: Danny Tuccitto
My Evidence for NFL Referee Bias (Finally) Enters the Public Domain
My poster from NESSIS 2007 on how referee bias explains home field advantage. Continue Rounding
Why DraftKings is Tougher than FanDuel (Part 1)
The statistics underlying why it’s harder to win on DraftKings than it is to win on FanDuel. Continue Rounding
Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Rushing Stats
The average rushing game produced 15.6 fantasy points in 2014. Do forecasts of the NFL rushing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding
Forecasting the 2015 Offensive Environment: Fantasy Passing Stats
The league average for QB fantasy scoring in 2014 was 17.3 points per game. Do forecasts of the NFL passing environment in 2015 suggest an increase or decrease? Continue Rounding
Forecasting the 2015 NFL Offensive Environment: ANY/A
An underrated factor in accurate player projections is forecasting the league environment. I did my best to do so via some fancy statistics. Continue Rounding
A Review of Mulholland & Jensen (2014): Part 1
Part 1 of a series looking at the recent peer-reviewed TE projection study by Mulholland and Jensen. Continue Rounding
Pass-Run Ratio: MLM or OLS?
How much of the variation in Pass-Run Ratio since 1978 is due to head coach differences? Continue Rounding
A Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (Part 3)
The third installment in a measurement validity evaluation of ANY/A. Continue Rounding
A Confirmatory Factor Analysis of Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (Part 2)
The second installment in a measurement validity evaluation of ANY/A. Continue Rounding